By Stephen Nover
Middle Tennessee State minus 1 hosting Rice
I understand there are better things to do on a Saturday – or any other day of the week for that matter – than pay attention to a Rice-Middle Tennessee State basketball game.
But I see value backing Middle Tennessee State for these reasons: The Blue Raiders are home, in a good situational spot and Rice is very bad on the road.
The Blue Raiders were showing signs of getting turned around winning two of three after losing 11 in a row. But then they lost, 75-70, as 8 1/2-point home favorites to North Texas in their last game this past Thursday. North Texas hit 52 percent of its shots from the floor and the Blue Raiders missed 14 of 28 free throws. They are a 67 percent free throw shooting team.
Rice, meanwhile, just upset Alabama-Birmingham as seven-point road ‘dogs two days ago. That was the Owls’ second consecutive win.
Hence, early activity in the marketplace has brought this line down to the pick’em type range. I don’t believe the line should be that tight, though. Rice hasn’t won three straight games since mid-November. The Owls had dropped their previous six road contests before surprising the Blazers. Rice had lost its prior three away matchups by an average of 16.3 points.
The Owls average 66 points on the road, which is seven points fewer per game than their regular average.
Middle Tennessee State is a grinder type team that can frustrate Rice. I see that happening here.
I am 74-38-2 on my college basketball plays the past two years and have won my last nine CBB plays. I have three CBB premium plays going today in addition to this free selection. I also am 48-33-1 on my NBA premium plays this season and am beating hockey for the fourth straight year. If you are interested in my sports service, please email me at scriber26@gmail.com, or message me via Twitter.
