Stephen Nover Super Bowl Prop

On February 1, 2020, in NFL, by Stephen

By Stephen Nover

Patrick Mahomes Under 35 1/2 rushing yards (minus $1.15 at

Surely bettors were remembering Patrick Mahomes’ impressive 27-yard touchdown run against the Titans in the AFC championship. Mahomes rushed for 53 yards against the Titans and had the same amount of running yards against the Texans in the Chiefs’ two playoff victories.

So it’s not surprising the Super Bowl prop of Mahomes Over/Under rushing yards has been bet up. It was at 35 1/2 yards at Saturday morning. At that number, I believe an Under wager makes sense.

Mahomes has been held to Under 31 rushing yards in 27 of 32 regular-season games during the past two years. Mahomes has good mobility and excellent improvising skills, but he’s not an elite running quarterback. Even though this is the Super Bowl, the Chiefs would rather not be holding their breath seeing their franchise quarterback take off with the ball against one of the hardest-hitting and better tackling teams in the NFL.

Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson were the only quarterbacks to rush for more than 34 yards against the 49ers this season. Wilson and Murray did this once in their two starts.

The public loves to bet Over on props in the Super Bowl. This is an example where the marketplace has pushed the number higher than it should be.

I am 10-0 on my last 10 plays. I have a top rated CBB play heading my Saturday card today. I am 70-40-1 (64%) on my college basketball plays the past two years. I also am 44-29-1 on my premium NBA plays this season and am beating the NHL for a fourth straight year and on an 8-game NHL win streak with five of those winners coming at a plus-price.

If you are interested in my sports service please email me at, or message me via Twitter. Thank you and best of luck!


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *