Stephen Nover Free Tuesday MLB Play

On May 7, 2019, in Free Picks, MLB, by Stephen

By Stephen Nover

A’s minus $1.16 hosting Reds

The Reds have hit the sixth-most homers in the majors. Yet Cincinnati is just 22nd in runs scored. Some of this can be explained by the Reds playing in one of the more homer-friendly home fields, Great American Ball Park.
Now, though, the Reds are on the road against the A’s, who play at Oakland Coliseum. This is one of the most spacious and difficult parks to hit homers in. Power teams often have trouble at Oakland Coliseum. The Reds are 17-46 in their last 63 road games for a winning percentage of 27 percent.
Tyler Mahle gets the start for Cincinnati. He pitched well in his last outing giving up one run in five innings on the road against the Mets this past Thursday. Mike Fiers goes for Oakland. He has a 6.81 ERA. The A’s may not have their most dangerous hitter, Kris Davis. Oakland could also be without its top reliever, Blake Treinen. The A’s have lost eight of their last nine games.
So are the A’s still worth backing as a slight home favorite?
Studying this matchup harder the answer is Yes.
The Reds are 1-10 in Mahle’s last 11 starts. Mahle had surrendered 13 runs and 25 innings during his previous three starts spanning 17 innings before his last outing. Cincinnati has lost the past seven times Mahle has started on the road.
Mahle is not a pitcher I want going for me. Fiers is a pitcher I can live with when he’s pitching at Oakland Coliseum where his fly ball tendencies don’t hurt him so much because of the ballpark configuration. Oakland is 8-2 in Fiers’ last 10 home starts. Fiers held two of his last three opponents at home to zero runs going six innings in each of those shutout victories. Fiers has a lifetime 2.60 ERA in 10 appearances versus the Reds, including eight starts.
The A’s 1-8 record in their last nine games all came on the road. They have a winning home mark this season and are on a three-game home win streak.
Davis hurt his hip making a rare outfield appearance this past Sunday. He’s confident he’ll be able to see action in this game as a DH. Treinen is dealing with a sore elbow. He hasn’t pitched the past few days. Treinen is optimistic he’ll be able to pitch today if needed. The A’s also hope to activate Matt Olson from the injured list for this game. Olson had 29 homers and 84 RBI’s last season.
The Reds last played at Oakland in 2013. This is going to be a real cultural shock for them. Look for the A’s to get well and back on track with this series.
(Editor’s note: Stephen Nover is having a huge baseball season. He is 11-2-1 on his last 14 MLB totals plays and his top Tuesday play is on a baseball total. If you are interested in Stephen’s sports service please contact him at or message him via Twitter.) 

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