Nevada-Boise State Free Saturday Play

On November 4, 2017, in Free Picks, NCAAF, by Stephen

Nevada plus 21 1/2 at Boise State

Only once has Nevada lost by more than 20 points this season. That came in a road game against Washington State five games ago.

After that loss, Ty Gangi took over at quarterback. The Wolf Pack have averaged 35 points in their last four games with Gangi under center. Gangi has a 10-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last three games. The Wolf Pack have covered each of those last three games, including losing by just two points to Colorado State as 25-point road ‘dogs.

This is a much bigger game for Nevada than it is for Boise State. The Wolf Pack treat this game as a rivalry. They’ve had two weeks to prepare following a bye last week. The Broncos have a much bigger game on tap playing at Colorado State next week.

Boise State is more about defense than offense this season. The Broncos rank 103rd in yards per game. They aren’t built to cover lopsided spreads like this especially against good passing teams. The Broncos average just under 30 points a game.

Nevada is 7-1-1 ATS during its last nine November games. Boise State is a brutal 0-12-1 ATS as a home favorite and 0-10 ATS in its last 10 home contests.

I am 10-3 on my last 13 college football plays, 31-14 on my last 45 NBA plays, 44-29-1 on my last 74 hockey plays and have won five of my last six NFL plays. If you’re interested in my picks service please email me at

As always, best of luck!


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