Stephen Nover Free CFB Saturday Play

On October 28, 2017, in Free Picks, NCAAF, by Stephen

Texas at Baylor Under 57

Texas has played the No. 1 and No. 2 offenses during its past two games. The Longhorns held Oklahoma State and Oklahoma to a combined average of 21 points a game.

Now the Longhorns step way down in class to take on winless Baylor, which is 78th in scoring and 90th in rushing. The Longhorns shouldn’t have a problem as their defense has come together in their last six games to become one of the best stop units in the country. During this time frame, the Longhorns are giving up 18.3 points a game, 372.5 yards and just 97 yards rushing.

Previous to playing Oklahoma State and Oklahoma, the Longhorns had faced Kansas State, Iowa State and USC. Those three teams all ranked among the top-47 in scoring.

I envision Baylor having a good defensive game, too. Texas quarterback Shane Buechele has limited mobility due to an ankle sprain. The Longhorns rank 94th in sacks allowed.

Opponents have had success running on the Bears. But I question just how effective Texas’ ground attack really is?

The Longhorns rank 77th in rushing at 151.4 yards a game. However, that includes 406 yards the Longhorns rushed for against San Jose State. If you discount that game against the overmatched 1-7 Spartans, Texas would average only 108 yards on the ground per game and just 2.8 yards a carry.


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