Free College Football Pick for November 9

On November 7, 2013, in Free Picks, NCAAF, by Stephen

Texas minus 6 1/2 at West Virginia

I don’t think West Virginia is that good this season, while Texas is coming on spurred by dreams of capturing the Big 12 championship.

The Longhorns have scored at 31 points in each of their last five games, all victories. During this span, Texas dealt TCU its worst home loss in 16 years and held Oklahoma to 20 points and 263 yards.

The change in defensive coordinators from Manny Diaz to Greg Robinson is paying off. The Longhorns allowed an average of 28.4 points and 464 yards during their first five games. In their last three games, the Longhorns have surrendered 20, 7 and 13 points and 263, 246 and 306 yards.

West Virginia has allowed an average of 43 points during its past four games. The Mountaineers rank 102nd in total defense yielding an average of 453 yards a game. They are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-14 ATS versus foes with winning road records.

Texas has been pointing to this game, too, since a 48-45 loss last season to the Mountaineers.

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