Stephen Nover Free Tuesday Play

On September 19, 2017, in Free Picks, MLB, by Stephen

Twins plus $1.45 at Yankees

The Twins are the best money-making road underdog in baseball. That’s where we find them today taking a hefty mid-range plus price.

The pitching matchup is Jose Berrios versus lefty CC Sabathia. Berrios has the lower ERA and is just beginning what promises to be a very good career. Depending on how you feel about Ervin Santana, Berrios is either the No. 1 or No. 2 pitcher on Minnesota. Berrios has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 16 of his 23 starts this season. In more than one-third of his starts, Berrios has held opponents to one earned run or fewer.

While Berriors is just entering his prime years, Sabathia is in the twillight of his career. Sabathia, who has chronic sore knees, was pushed back two days so he wouldn’t have to pitch off the artificial turf in Toronto. So he is pitching on seven days rest here. Sabathia has a lifetime ERA of 4.17 when pitching with six or more days rest. He’s done that seven times this year with an ERA of 4.72 in those outings.

The Twins are six games above .500 on the road and also have a winning mark versus lefties.


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