Stephen Nover Free Monday Play

On July 31, 2017, in Free Picks, MLB, by Stephen

Tigers plus 1 1/2 runs even money at Yankees

I admit I’m leery of the Tigers’ bullpen especially with closer Justin Wilson, their most consistent reliever, traded now to the Cubs.

But there’s way too much value to pass on the Tigers here. So I’m going to grab it – but with insurance – by taking 1 1/2 runs on the run line.

The pitching matchup is Michael Fulmer versus Luis Severino.

This isn’t a fade on Severino. How can it be when he’s pitching his best ball allowing just one earned run in his past 27 innings. I will point out, though, the Yankees usually do better when Severino goes against a winning opponent. New York is 2-9 the past 11 times Severino has started versus sub .500 foes.

Fulmer isn’t exactly a stiff. He won Rookie of the Year honors last season and is a steady 10-8 with a 3.35 ERA this season.He’s made 17 quality starts this year and can be counted on for a solid performance.

The Tigers enter this matchup with a lot of confidence having just destroyed the Astros, 13-1, on Sunday. Detroit has scored 23 runs in its last three games. If given 1 1/2 runs, they would be 11-4 in their last 15 games.

Aaron Judge is a big key for the Yankees. But he’s batting only .158 since the All-Star break.


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