Stephen Nover’s NFL Draft Prop Picks

On April 28, 2016, in NFL, by Stephen

Usually you’re paying high juice. But NFL draft props are beatable. The books are sitting ducks as updated – and key – information becomes available leading up to the event.

I’ve always made money betting NFL props. I’m very confident the streak continues this year.

Here are my 2016 NFL draft props:

Will there be Over/Under 2 1/2 quarterbacks drafted in the first round? Go Over 2 1/2. The juice is exceptionally high on this one, but it’s as close to a lock as you’ll find with Jared Goff and Carson Wentz likely going first and second and Paxton Lynch possibly being a top-10 pick, too. There’s even a chance a fourth quarterback could sneak into the first round such as Connor Cook or Christian Hackenberg. Quarterback is the one position teams will reach on hoping to strike gold in the quarterback-driven NFL.

Ohio State figures prominently in the draft. I’m involved in three props involving Ohio State players. They are:

Ezekiel Elliott Over/Under 8 1/2 on when he gets picked. Go Under 8 1/2. Elliott is the most complete running back to enter the draft since Adrian Peterson. It wouldn’t shock me to see him go as high as No. 4 to the Cowboys.

Darron Lee Over/Under 10 1/2 on when he gets picked. Go Over 10 1/2. I don’t see him being among the top 15 players chosen. He’s downgraded by his lack of size.

Joey Bosa to be drafted ahead of Myles Jack. Bosa is the best pass rusher in the draft. He should be among the top five players selected.

Myles Jack Over/Under 8 on when he gets picked. Go Over 8. Jack’s stock has dropped because of concerns about his sore knee. He’s out of the top 10 now and slipping.

Over/Under 5 1/2 wide receivers/running backs go in the first round. Go Under 5 1/2. It’s a weak year for wide receivers. There are no sure-fire wide receiver stars like in the past few years and Elliott is likely the lone running back to go in Round 1. The only wide receivers I see going in the first round are Laquon Treadwell, Corey Coleman and Josh Dotson.


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *