Stephen Nover Free Monday Play

On August 25, 2014, in Free Picks, by Stephen

Blue Jays minus $1.25 hosting Red Sox

Is there any reason or proof to trust the Red Sox and Clay Buchholz on the road in this matchup? I certainly can’t find any.

Boston has lost eight in a row. Just once during this span have the Red Sox scored more than three runs. Buchholz has been brutal all season and that hasn’t changed since the All-Star break.

The Red Sox have lost each of the past six times Buchholz has taken the mound. He’s compiled a 7.05 ERA during this span. Buchholz has a 7.15 ERA in four outings against Toronto this season.

Boston hasn’t been good against better competition going 6-18 versus opponents above .500. They have lost 10 of the past 11 times to Toronto, including the last six.

Blue Jays lefty J.A. Happ is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA during his last four home starts. He’s faced Boston four times the past two seasons going 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA, including winning both starts against the Red Sox this year. Boston has lost 15 of the last 21 times it has faced a southpaw.

Happ may not have to deal with David Ortiz either. Ortiz, who leads the Red Sox in homers and RBI’s, left yesterday’s game after fouling a ball off his foot.

In addition to this free selection, I have my August Total of the Month going today. I am 3-for-3 on my biggest August plays cashing my August Chalk Play of the Month, Underdog Game of the Month and Run Line Game of the Month.


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